A setting event is a variable that in and of itself does not serve as a direct cue to the learner that if they engage in problem behavior they are apt to be reinforced. Instead, it simply increases the probability that in the presence of a provoking stimulus problem behavior will occur. For example, assume that when a task demand is given to James there is about a 20% probability that he will engage in problem behavior. However, when his work environment is extremely noisy, the probability of problem behavior when given a task demand is much higher at 90%.

Because sometimes the setting event is present while other times it is absent, the behavior may appear to be very inconsistent to an observer.